Recent failures to predict major elections (e.g., Brexit, Trump) has eroded trust in our ability to predict the future. As a result, many newsrooms are now reluctant to incorporate election forecasts in their campaign coverage. Others simply lack the necessary skills and resources to develop reliable forecasts. We will (re-)build trust in election forecasting through strict adherence to evidence-based principles for both developing forecasts and communicating their underlying uncertainty. In addition, we will use innovative technological solutions to generate automated election coverage, optimized for different channels and user types, and in multiple languages.

2016-2019, PollyVote: Computational Campaign Coverage. Funded by the Google Digital News Initiative (round 3). https://digitalnewsinitiative.com/dni-projects/pollyvote-computational-campaign-coverage/. (content_copy)